There are procedures to follow when trading commodities. Computerized programs or the commodity trading systems are responsible for giving signals to the members when to sell or buy commodity futures or options contracts. The system produces the signals basing from mathematical formulas typically based from the trading data including prices and trading volumes involve in the technical analysis.
Trading systems that are based from technical analysis are attempting to predict the price movements in the future basing on price trends, price relationships and historical prices.
Do not rely too much on trading results being hypothetically posted. Many promoters of commodity trading systems often advertise hypothetical results. It is based from simulations of trading using either the historical data prices or real time simulated computer trading. Do not be fooled because there are some promoters only pretend that they have traded future contracts occurred in the past using the market price.
They then procure calculations of trading results basing from actual historical prices. The results are impressive, showing trading results having huge net profits within small marginal calls. Try to observe that the results do not reflect the actual trading. There is no actual investment, no actual profits, no actual future accounts, and no actual trading that really happened. All are only simulation results.
Assess these inherent limitations of hypothetical results of commodity trading.
– Hypothetical results do not go along 20/20 with the actual or historical results. The results produced on the trading system are not traded in the actual market so there is a high probability of risks that a trader can face about decision making. Actual price and demand of the commodity and its supply could have greater impact if compared to the hypothetical results.
– Real time posted on the results is not real. Hypothetical results based their tested systems on historical market data but trading in real time uses a live feed data when a system trading is being tested.
– There is a financial limitation. Hypothetical results do not take into consideration the trader