Tag Archives: etfs

Forex Trading

A Highly Reliable Chart Pattern-M Tops And W Bottoms

Leave a comment

Trend trading is all about knowing when the market is at its top or at its bottom. When the market reaches its top, it means that the price action is about to start falling and the uptrend will turn into a downtrend. In the same manner, when the market reaches its bottom, it means that the price action will start climbing again and the downtrend will soon turn into an uptrend. So how do you know that the market is at its top or at its bottom? The most reliable chart pattern that tells that the market is at its top or at its bottom is the Double Top or the Double Bottom or what you may call the M/W Chart Pattern.

These chart patterns are formed due to the behavior of the buyers and sellers in the market. They don’t appear all of a sudden out of thin air. What they represent is the mass psychology prevading the market. Now, when an uptrend starts, everyone wants to jump on the bandwagon. Traders and investors are desperate to ride the trend as soon as possible. This starts heavy buying in the market that pushed the price action up.

Eventually, the buying pressure subsides and the price action hits a peak. The buying pressure loses steam and there are now not many buyers left in the market. Those with long positions also decided to take profit and exit. This was the first leg of M is formed.

When selling starts, price action begins to fall. Selling is now driving the price action down. Those traders who had long positions, now want to take profit and exit. This selling continues until a point is reached where buyers again jump into action driving the prices up again. This results in the formation of a second peak in the pattern that might be close to the first peak or lower than it. If the second peak is higher than the first, the chart pattern formed is the Head and Shoulder Pattern.

But in most of the cases, the second high is always lower than the first high formed in the price action. The buying rally reaches a high point that is lower than the first high. Then the buying pressure fades again and the price action starts to fall thus forming the second leg of M in the chart pattern.

The W in the pattern is formed in almost in the similar fashion but in this case there is a downtrend. Falling price action reaches it bottom, climbs again and then falls again forming the W Chart Pattern. The first part of W is formed when the first bottom is reached. This is sort of a support where buyers jump in.

When buyers start buying, price action begins to rise again till it reaches its high and then falls again. Whatever, these Double Top and Double Bottom Patterns or what you call the M and W Chart Patterns are highly reliable indicators of price reversal. However, you need to confirm them with volume before you trade on these patterns.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Download these Forex Scalping Cheatsheets FREE. First practice on your Forex Demo Account and double it three times in a row before trading live.

Forex Trading

Profitable Candlestick Trend Confirming Patterns-Separating Lines And Bullish Thrusting Lines

Leave a comment

Riding a trend is tricky in the sense that you don’t know when to get out. If you get ou late, you are going to lose all the unrealized profits that you had made while riding the trend plus a substantial loss. However, if you get out early, you will be leaving profits on the table. So how to know when to get out and when to continue riding the trend. Candlestick pattern can help you in identifying trend confirmation and trend reversal. Thrusting Lines Candlestick Pattern is a trend continuation or what you call a trend confirmation pattern that can be highly profitable if you can spot it correctly.

In case of a true Bullish Thrusting Lines, the close of the second day or what you call the signal day is always above the midpoint of the first day or the setup day. Just like anyother candlestick pattern, a Thrusting Lines Candlestick Pattern can be bullish as well as bearish. In case of a Bullish Thrusting Lines, the first day or what you call the signal day, there is a long bullish candle. On the signal day, it is a bearish candle with a gap opening price that is higher than the first day or what you call the setup day.

What this means is that on the first day, bulls had been in charge of the market. On the second day, bulls push a security to have a gap opening. This brings in some sellers but the bears are unable to push the price above the middle of the previous day. This means that bulls are still around and are poised to take control of the market again.

When a Thrusting Line Candlestick Pattern is formed, it means that the trend is going to continue in the future. You can safely keep on riding the trend when you find this pattern.

Now, Bullish Separating Lines is another important trend confirmation candlestick pattern that you should master. On the first day or what you call the setup day or what you call the first day, you will find a long bearish candle. This long bearish candle means that the bears have been in total control of the market for the day.

However, on the signal day or the second day, you will find a bullish candle. This bullish candle has got an open that is equal to almost equal to the open of the first day or the setup day. This is the feature that is used to identify the Separating Lines Pattern.

However, on the signal day, the bulls come into play and start buying. There is so much bullishness in the market that the opening price of the signal day is equal to the opening price of the set up day. From that point on the bulls dominate the market and the uptrend continues.

Now both these candlestick patterns are rare and do not appear frequently. But when they appear during an uptrend, it means that the uptrend is going to continue. In the same way, bearish thrusting lines and bearish separating lines are formed in an opposite manner and confirm the continuation of the downtrend.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page FREE PDF Candlestick Guide. Download this 1 Minute Forex Trading System that makes money instantly anytime FREE.

Forex Trading

Trading Volume And Open Interest

Leave a comment

If you are looking for a direct real time market sentiment indicator than you need to look no more. Trading volume of a stock or what that matter any security is a direct real time market sentiment indicator that when combined with technical indicators can give highly profitable trading signals. When the trading volume is high, it means that the current trend in the market will continue.

Volume figures are very important for traders. Volume data is not possible for currency markets as the market is unregulated and over the counter due to which this data is unavailable. Stock and futures markets have volume data that helps the traders and investors in knowing how heavy a certain stock or futures contract is being traded. In case of futures market, volume figures are delayed by one trading day.

Increase in trading volume is good for traders and hedgers as it means better price discovery.As the futures contracts near the delivery month, volume increases.

You should know the Limit Days in futures market. Limit days are those days when a futures contract makes a big move in a very short period of time with heavy volume. A Limit Up Day is a sign of strength however, a limit down day is usually followed by trading collars.

Now when using the volume information in your trading decisions you should check other indicators to confirm what volume is telling? You need to ask yourself whether the trend is going to change. You need to consider the key support and resistance. You also need to understand the way volume is reported in the stock market and in the futures market. Open interest is the number of active contracts of a security during a given trading period. Open interest is the most useful tool in analyzing potential trend reversals in the futures market.

Open interest only applies to futures and options contracts and not to stocks. Open interest is the number of contracts entered into during a specific period of time but have not been liquidated or settled.

Open interest gives you information about the total number of short and long contracts. Open interest varies with the number of traders entering and leaving the market. It rises by one when a new buyer and a new seller enter the market. Similarly falls by one when a buyer and a seller leave the market. Charting open interest on a daily basis in conjunction with the price charts helps you keep track of the trend in the futures market and can be a very useful tool.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Know this shocking Dow Futures secret that can make you rich. Download this very simple 1 Minute Forex Trading System FREE that makes money instantly anytime.

Stock Trading

Bullish White Long Candlestick Pattern-The Bullish White Marubozu

Leave a comment

Bulls and bears are always fighting for the control of the market. Candlestick charts are the best way to know who is controlling the market. With one glance on the candlestick chart, you can find out whether the bulls were in control or the bears. There are many candlestick patterns. The most basic and the most powerful candlestick pattern is the the long white candle. When this candle is formed, it means that bulls have been controlling the market throughout the day pushing the currency prices or the security prices higher throughout the trading day. This is one of the most bullish candlestick pattern to form on the chart!

As prices rise through the day, sellers do come in but not enough to stop the prices from continuing to rise. When sellers do show up during the trading day, buyers buy from them and the prices move higher.

Now, what this means is that prices have been constantly rising throughout the trading day. The closing price was equal to the high of the day or very near the high of the day. This is an indication that the buyers are not done with their buying. The following day the bulls will still be in control and pushing the prices further higher. This is an indication of the fact that there are not enough stocks or securities in the market to satisfy the buying appetite of the investors. With high demand and low supply, the prices will continue to rise!

Now, a true White Marubozu is a special variation of the long white candle with the closing price equal to the high of the day and the opening price equal to the low of the day. However, a White Marubozu may not be formed quite frequently on the chart. Most of the time, you are going to find the white long candle with a wick on either side of the candle body. These wicks will be small offcourse. What this indicates is that the closing price was close to the high of the day but not equal to it. In the same way, the opening price was close or near to the low of the day but not equal to it!

How do you know that this is indeed the white long candle? When you find that 90% of the area between the low and high of the day is covered by the candle body, you know that this is indeed a long white candle. You wil find many bullish white candles on the chart. Off course, everyone will not be the white long candle.

On a long white candle day, a lot of price action is covered by a very short amount of time. Price action doesn’t move in one direction for that matter without retracing some part of it. This normal retracing of the price action gives you a chance to act on the signal provided by the bullish long white candle.

With long white candlesticks, the low price on the candlestick is a good support level. Support is the level where the buyers are expected to support the price of the stock or for that matter the security.

There are some variations to the bullish long white candle. Three are very important. The first is the Long White Marubozu that has no wick. It is all candlebody. This is the most bullish of the candlestick patterns. The other variation is the Closing White Marubozu. In this case, the closing price is equal to the high of the day. What this means is that there is no wick on the top of the candlebody.The third important variation is the Opening White Marubozu. In this case, the open price is equal to the low of the day. What this means is that the there is no wick below the candle body.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the powerful FOREX-4 PACK Training Kit and the Profit Button Report FREE just now!

Forex Trading

Short Interest Ratios And Short Selling Secret

Leave a comment

Short selling is a way to make money when a security price starts falling. When you expect a stock to fall in price, you borrow it from your broker and sell it. After sometimes buy it back in order to return it to your broker. The difference between the selling price and the buying price in this case is your capital gain.

Now for short selling to work, the stock price should go down otherwize, you will make a hefty loss in case the stock price starts to go up. Since, you are trading with a borrowed stock, you have to return that stock to your broker. In case the stock price goes up, you will have to buy it back at a much higher price with a loss. Now, when you go short and the market suddenly turns against you in the sense that it goes in the wrong direction, you are in trouble. You want to buy back the stock but the price is continously going up. The harder it becomes to buy back the required number of shares, the more desperate you will become and the higher the prices can go before you are able to buy back the required number of shares and return them to your broker. So in a way, short selling is tricky and must only be practiced by the experienced traders.

Now, in other markets like the currencies, futures or the options market, you don’t have to borrow the security in order to go short. You can straight away go short by selling that security or currency in the market. Now, short selling in stocks is done by investors with the expectation of a making a capital gain when they expect that stock price to go down in the near future. Short selling is also done by the fund managers to hedge their stock portfolios.

In the case of stocks, you need to monitor the rate of short selling in order to gauge investor expectation as well as the future market direction. Now, NYSE and NASDAQ report the short interest in stocks listed with them. Now this data is released on monthly basis as the brokerage firms may need a while to report how many shares have been shorted and then report that data to the exchange.

Now this number is known as the Short Interest Ratio. Short Interest Ratio is a very important number for short sellers as it can give important clues about the investor expectation to the short sellers.

So what is the Short Interest Ratio? Short Interest Ratio is the number of shares of a particular stock that has been shorted in the market. Plus the average daily volume for that stock in the same month and also the number of days of trading at the average volume that it would require the market to cover the short positions in that stock. It also reports the percentage change in the short positions from the previous month.

An increase in the short interest ratio means that the investors are becoming nervous about the stock. Now, this number is not calculated frequently. What this means is that the trader cannot get a lot of information out of it. But still a high short interest ratio means that the stock prices will go high soon as the investors with short positions become desperate to buy it back. High Short Interest Ratios along with bullish indicators is an indication that prices are going to go up soon rather than down.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report. Get your FREE COPIES of the HVMM Ultimate Day Trading System and the Universal Risk & Money Management Tool.